Week 12
Malone Stadium

South Alabama26 @FINAL 14UL Monroe , Week 12, Nov 15, 2025

2-7 Sun Belt Power rating: -8.0
3-6 Sun Belt Power rating: -17.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USA -4.0
PM Implied
USA -3.4
Blue Chip model
USA -5.7
Edge
-1.7USA
See details
◂ favors USAfavors ULM ▸Market: USA -4.0
‹ 9.0 USA
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ULM
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 USA1 ULM2 USA2 ULM3 USA3 ULMModel: USA -5.7

Betting information

Spread
USA -4.0
Total
49.5
Odds implied score
USA 26.8 – 22.8 ULM
Prediction markets
USA 64% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

South Alabama defeated UL Monroe 26–14 in a double-digit victory. South Alabama covered by 8.0; Game went Under by 9.5. The market closed at South Alabama -4.0 and the Blue Chip model made it South Alabama -5.7, an edge of 1.7 points toward South Alabama.

What were the weather conditions for South Alabama vs UL Monroe?

At kickoff, conditions at Malone Stadium were Clear, 68°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

South Alabama travels 261 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

South Alabama won by 12 in a double-digit victory.

South Alabama covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

How do South Alabama and UL Monroe compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Alabama (-8.0) over UL Monroe (-17.0) by 9.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UL Monroe faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UL Monroe brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

South Alabama won and South Alabama covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Clear

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity81%
Wind8 mph SSW
Gusts17 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for South Alabama at UL Monroe: aerial view of Malone Stadium, wind from the SSW at 8.1 mph, gusting to 17 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CST
Venue
Malone Stadium
Capacity
27,617
Elevation
92 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure South AlabamaAway UL MonroeHome
This week261 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total2,699 miles5,512 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest14 days14 days