North Texas defeated UAB 53–24 in a dominant performance. North Texas covered by 11.5; Game went Over by 8.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Protective Stadium were Clear, 69.4°F, Feels Like 69.4°F with winds of 5.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
69.4°F
True freshman Caleb Hawkins set a program record with five rushing touchdowns, including four in the first half, and finished with 189 yards on 27 carries. This performance underscores North Texas's elite ground game, which is a key factor in their high-scoring offense.
Drew Mestemaker completed 18 of 25 passes for 298 yards and two touchdowns, with Wyatt Young (8 catches, 148 yards, TD) and Cameron Dorner (3 catches, 73 yards, TD) as primary targets. The balanced attack makes the offense difficult to defend.
North Texas ranks second nationally in scoring (44.4 PPG) and fifth in total yards (487.8 YPG). Their 506-yard performance against UAB shows they can maintain elite production against conference opponents.
The Mean Green defense intercepted UAB quarterback Jalen Kitna twice and held the Blazers to 24 points, despite allowing 163 rushing yards to Jevon Jackson. This defensive effort helped secure the blowout win.
Coming off a key win over Navy, North Texas improved to 9-1 (5-1 AAC) and remains in contention for the conference title. Their dominant performance against UAB builds confidence heading into the next game.
North Texas travels 599 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
North Texas won by 29 in a dominant performance.
North Texas covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Over by 8.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour North Texas (7.9) over UAB (-10.0) by 17.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UAB faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UAB brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
North Texas won and North Texas covered the spread.
