14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 09:30 PM UTC
North Carolina @ Wake Forest
4-5
ACC
Power Rank: -0.4
12 FINAL 28
6-3
ACC
Power Rank: 3.0
Wake Forest covered by 9.5 | Game went Under by 19.5

By · Last updated

Wake Forest defeated North Carolina 28–12 in a double-digit victory.

North Carolina @ Wake Forest Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:30 PM EST
Stadium: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity: 31,500
Elevation: 958 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Wake Forest -6.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score UNC 26.5 - 33.0 WAKE
Power Rank Implied Line Wake Forest +3.4
Prediction Markets Wake Forest 65% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

25.4°F

Wind Chill: 20.7°F
Wind: 3.8 mph SW
Gusts: 7.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

North Carolina (Away)

This Week: 69.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7135.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 7

Wake Forest (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 325.1 miles
Season Total: 6170.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Wake Forest -6.5
Total Points 59.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
North Carolina -0.4
Wake Forest 3.0
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 69 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity 31,500
Elevation 958 ft
Weather: Mist
Temperature 25.4°F
Wind Speed 3.8 mph
Your Line Wake Forest +3.4
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for North Carolina vs Wake Forest?

North Carolina: Key Factors

Wake Forest: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

North Carolina travels 69 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Wake Forest won by 16 in a double-digit victory.

Wake Forest covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 19.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium?

At 25.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do North Carolina and Wake Forest compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Wake Forest (3.0) over North Carolina (-0.4) by 3.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Wake Forest brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Carolina and Wake Forest?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Wake Forest won and Wake Forest covered the spread.