Week 12November 15, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
26
1-8
CUSA
Power Rank: -16.1
@
FINAL
42
7-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -9.9

By · Last updated

Western Kentucky defeated Middle Tennessee 42–26 in a double-digit victory. Western Kentucky covered by 2.5; Game went Over by 16.5.

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Capacity: 19,250
Elevation: 495 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Western Kentucky -13.5
Total (O/U) 51.5
Odds Implied Score MTSU 19.0 - 32.5 WKU
Power Rank Implied Line Western Kentucky -6.2
Prediction Markets Western Kentucky 82% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky Preview

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Middle Tennessee
Western Kentucky
Home field: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Weather: Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky?

At kick-off, conditions at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium were Cloudy, 63.5°F, Feels Like 63.5°F with winds of 16.8 mph. Wind of 16.8 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 28.2 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 15, 2025
Cloudy

Cloudy

63.5°F

Feels Like: 63.5°F
Wind: 16.8 mph SW
Gusts: 28.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 84%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Middle Tennessee (Away)

This Week: 78.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6404.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Western Kentucky (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3621.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 14

What happened in the game?

Middle Tennessee travels 78 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Western Kentucky won by 16 in a double-digit victory.

Western Kentucky covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium?

Wind of 16.8 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff.

Gusts reaching 28.2 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Western Kentucky (-9.9) over Middle Tennessee (-16.1) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Western Kentucky brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Western Kentucky won and Western Kentucky covered the spread.