14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky
1-8
CUSA
Power Rank: -16.1
26 FINAL 42
7-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -9.9
Western Kentucky covered by 2.5 | Game went Over by 17.5

By · Last updated

Western Kentucky defeated Middle Tennessee 42–26 in a double-digit victory.

Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Capacity: 19,250
Elevation: 495 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Western Kentucky -13.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score MTSU 18.5 - 32.0 WKU
Power Rank Implied Line Western Kentucky +6.2
Prediction Markets Western Kentucky 82% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

27.9°F

Wind Chill: 24.4°F
Wind: 3.4 mph SSW
Gusts: 7.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Middle Tennessee (Away)

This Week: 78.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8788.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Western Kentucky (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3621.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Western Kentucky -13.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Middle Tennessee -16.1
Western Kentucky -9.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 78 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Western Kentucky +7
HFA: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Capacity 19,250
Elevation 495 ft
Weather: Overcast
Temperature 27.9°F
Wind Speed 3.4 mph
Your Line Western Kentucky +6.2
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky?

Middle Tennessee: Key Factors

Western Kentucky: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Middle Tennessee travels 78 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Western Kentucky won by 16 in a double-digit victory.

Western Kentucky covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Over by 17.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium?

At 27.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Western Kentucky (-9.9) over Middle Tennessee (-16.1) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Western Kentucky brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Western Kentucky won and Western Kentucky covered the spread.