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Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
Michigan @ Northwestern
7-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 18.0
24 FINAL 22
5-4
Big Ten
Power Rank: 4.7
Northwestern covered by 9.5 | Game went Over by 1.5

By · Last updated

Michigan defeated Northwestern 24–22 in a nail-biter.

Michigan @ Northwestern Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CST
Stadium: Wrigley Field
Capacity: 41,649
Elevation: 607 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Michigan -11.5
Total (O/U) 44.5
Expected Score MICH 28.0 - 16.5 NU
Power Rank Implied Line Michigan +13.3
Prediction Markets Michigan 80% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light snow showers

Light snow showers

25.7°F

Wind Chill: 16.7°F
Wind: 8.7 mph NW
Gusts: 13.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.04"
Humidity: 90%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 77%

Travel & Rest

Michigan (Away)

This Week: 201.9 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 7326.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 14

Northwestern (Home)

This Week: 7.6 miles
Last Week: 3497.8 miles
Season Total: 7461.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Michigan -11.5
Total Points 44.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Michigan 18.0
Northwestern 4.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 202 mi
Home Team Travel 8 mi
Rest Michigan +7
HFA: Wrigley Field
Capacity 41,649
Elevation 607 ft
Weather: Light snow showers
Temperature 25.7°F
Wind Speed 8.7 mph
Your Line Northwestern -13.3
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Michigan vs Northwestern?

Michigan: Key Factors

Northwestern: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Michigan travels 202 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Michigan arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Michigan won by 2 in a nail-biter.

Northwestern covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Wrigley Field?

At 25.7°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 79%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Michigan and Northwestern compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Michigan (18.0) over Northwestern (4.7) by 13.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Northwestern faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Michigan and Northwestern?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Michigan won and Northwestern covered the spread.