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Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State
3-7
MAC
Power Rank: -12.9
24 FINAL 9
4-5
MAC
Power Rank: -17.2
Eastern Michigan covered by 12.5 | Game went Under by 17.5

By · Last updated

Eastern Michigan defeated Ball State 24–9 in a double-digit victory.

Eastern Michigan @ Ball State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EST
Stadium: Scheumann Stadium
Capacity: 16,319
Elevation: 951 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Eastern Michigan -2.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score EMU 26.5 - 24.0 BALL
Power Rank Implied Line Eastern Michigan +4.3
Prediction Markets Eastern Michigan 57% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

27.3°F

Wind Chill: 17.9°F
Wind: 10.3 mph WSW
Gusts: 14.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 95%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 79%

Travel & Rest

Eastern Michigan (Away)

This Week: 168.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4206.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Ball State (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3395.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 10

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Eastern Michigan -2.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Eastern Michigan -12.9
Ball State -17.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 168 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Ball State +3
HFA: Scheumann Stadium
Capacity 16,319
Elevation 951 ft
Weather: Moderate snow
Temperature 27.3°F
Wind Speed 10.3 mph
Your Line Ball State -4.3
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Eastern Michigan vs Ball State?

Eastern Michigan: Key Factors

Ball State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Eastern Michigan travels 168 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Eastern Michigan won by 15 in a double-digit victory.

Eastern Michigan covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 17.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Scheumann Stadium?

At 27.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Eastern Michigan and Ball State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Eastern Michigan (-12.9) over Ball State (-17.2) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Ball State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Ball State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Eastern Michigan and Ball State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Eastern Michigan won and Eastern Michigan covered the spread.