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Week 12 •
Scheumann Stadium

Eastern Michigan24 @FINAL 9Ball State

3-7 MAC Power rating: -12.9
4-5 MAC Power rating: -17.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
EMU -2.5
PM Implied
EMU -1.5
Blue Chip model
EMU -0.3
Edge
+2.2BALL
See details
◂ favors EMUfavors BALL ▸Market: EMU -2.5
‹ 4.3 EMU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BALL
BALL
no impact
no impact
BALL
1 EMU1 BALL2 EMU2 BALL3 EMU3 BALLModel: EMU -0.3

Betting information

Spread
EMU -2.5
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
EMU 25.5 – 23.0 BALL
Prediction markets
EMU 57% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Eastern Michigan defeated Ball State 24–9 in a double-digit victory. Eastern Michigan covered by 12.5; Game went Under by 15.5. The market closed at Eastern Michigan -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Eastern Michigan -0.3, an edge of 2.2 points toward Ball State.

What were the weather conditions for Eastern Michigan vs Ball State?

At kickoff, conditions at Scheumann Stadium were Overcast, 60°F with winds of 20 mph. Wind of 20 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 28 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Eastern Michigan travels 168 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Eastern Michigan won by 15 in a double-digit victory.

Eastern Michigan covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 15.5 points.

How do Eastern Michigan and Ball State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Eastern Michigan (-12.9) over Ball State (-17.2) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Ball State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Ball State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Eastern Michigan and Ball State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Eastern Michigan won and Eastern Michigan covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

60°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind20 mph SW
Gusts28 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Eastern Michigan at Ball State: aerial view of Scheumann Stadium, wind from the SW at 20.1 mph, gusting to 28.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Scheumann Stadium
Capacity
16,319
Elevation
951 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Eastern MichiganAway Ball StateHome
This week168 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total4,206 miles3,275 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days9 days

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