Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 05:45 PM UTC
2-7
SEC
Power Rank: 11.3
22 FINAL 23
5-4
SEC
Power Rank: 15.2
Arkansas covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 11.5

LSU defeated Arkansas 23–22 in a nail-biter.

Arkansas @ LSU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:45 AM CST
Stadium: Tiger Stadium (LA)
Capacity: 23,000
Elevation: 56 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread LSU -4.5
Total (O/U) 56.5
Expected Score ARK 26.0 - 30.5 LSU
Power Rank Implied Line LSU +3.9
Prediction Markets LSU 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

44.8°F

Wind Chill: 42.2°F
Wind: 5.4 mph WSW
Gusts: 9.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 45%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arkansas (Away)

This Week: 426.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2641.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:45
Rest Days: 14

LSU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 575.4 miles
Season Total: 4210.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:45
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line LSU -4.5
Total Points 56.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arkansas 11.3
LSU 15.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 427 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Arkansas +7
HFA: Tiger Stadium (LA)
Capacity 23,000
Elevation 56 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 44.8°F
Wind Speed 5.4 mph
Your Line LSU +3.9
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Arkansas vs LSU?

Arkansas: Key Factors

LSU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arkansas travels 427 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

LSU won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Arkansas covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 11.5 points.

How do Arkansas and LSU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour LSU (15.2) over Arkansas (11.3) by 3.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. LSU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

LSU won and Arkansas covered the spread.