Week 11 • November 09, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
1-7
MW
Power Rank: -13.7
14 FINAL 51
4-4
MW
Power Rank: -4.2
Utah State covered by 26.5 | Game went Over by 11.5

Utah State defeated Nevada 51–14 in a dominant performance.

Nevada @ Utah State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 05:30 PM MST
Stadium: Maverik Stadium
Capacity: 25,513
Elevation: 4721 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Utah State -10.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Expected Score NEV 21.5 - 32.0 USU
Power Rank Implied Line Utah State +9.5
Prediction Markets Utah State 76% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

31.7°F

Wind Chill: 27.7°F
Wind: 4.0 mph E
Gusts: 8.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 51%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Nevada (Away)

This Week: 447.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 10427.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 15

Utah State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 12203.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:30
Rest Days: 15

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Utah State -10.5
Total Points 53.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Nevada -13.7
Utah State -4.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 447 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Maverik Stadium
Capacity 25,513
Elevation 4721 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 31.7°F
Wind Speed 4.0 mph
Your Line Utah State +9.5
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Nevada vs Utah State?

Nevada: Key Factors

Utah State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Nevada travels 447 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Nevada arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Utah State won by 37 in a dominant performance.

Utah State covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Maverik Stadium?

At 31.7°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Nevada and Utah State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Utah State (-4.2) over Nevada (-13.7) by 9.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Utah State won and Utah State covered the spread.