Louisiana defeated Texas State 42–39 in a nail-biter. Louisiana covered by 6.5; Game went Over by 18.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Texas State 5.1 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Cajun Field were Fog, 68.2°F, Feels Like 68.2°F with winds of 7.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
68.2°F
Texas State travels 353 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Louisiana won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Louisiana covered the spread.
The total went Over by 18.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Texas State (-3.8) over Louisiana (-8.9) by 5.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Louisiana faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Louisiana brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Louisiana won and Louisiana covered the spread.
