14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 10:00 PM UTC
Texas State @ Louisiana
3-5
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -3.8
39 FINAL 42
3-6
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -8.9
Louisiana covered by 4.5 | Game went Over by 16.5

By · Last updated

Louisiana defeated Texas State 42–39 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Texas State 5.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

Texas State @ Louisiana Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM CST
Stadium: Cajun Field
Capacity: 20,000
Elevation: 62 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Texas State -1.5
Total (O/U) 64.5
Expected Score TXST 33.0 - 31.5 UL
Power Rank Implied Line Texas State +5.1
Prediction Markets Texas State 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

38.8°F

Wind Chill: 33.9°F
Wind: 7.2 mph SW
Gusts: 14.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 78%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Texas State (Away)

This Week: 353.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5469.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 11

Louisiana (Home)

This Week: 1.6 miles
Last Week: 461.2 miles
Season Total: 6196.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Texas State -1.5
Total Points 64.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Texas State -3.8
Louisiana -8.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 353 mi
Home Team Travel 2 mi
Rest Texas State +4
HFA: Cajun Field
Capacity 20,000
Elevation 62 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 38.8°F
Wind Speed 7.2 mph
Your Line Louisiana -5.1
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Texas State vs Louisiana?

Texas State: Key Factors

Louisiana: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Texas State travels 353 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Louisiana won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Louisiana covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do Texas State and Louisiana compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Texas State (-3.8) over Louisiana (-8.9) by 5.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Louisiana faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Louisiana brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas State and Louisiana?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Louisiana won and Louisiana covered the spread.