Week 11 •
Memorial Stadium

Texas A&M38 @FINAL 17Missouri , Week 11, Nov 8, 2025

8-0 SEC Power rating: 23.4
6-2 SEC Power rating: 17.9

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TA&M -7.0
PM Implied
TA&M -5.4
Blue Chip model
TA&M -2.6
Edge
+4.4MIZ
See details
◂ favors TA&Mfavors MIZ ▸Market: TA&M -7.0
‹ 5.5 TA&M
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MIZ
no impact
no impact
no impact
MIZ
2 TA&M2 MIZ4 TA&M4 MIZModel: TA&M -2.6

Betting information

Spread
TA&M -7.0
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
TA&M 27.8 – 20.8 MIZ
Prediction markets
TA&M 71% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas A&M defeated Missouri 38–17 to secure a comfortable win. Texas A&M covered by 14.0; Game went Over by 6.5. The market closed at Texas A&M -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas A&M -2.6 - a gap of 4.4 points toward Missouri, of which 3.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Texas A&M vs Missouri?

At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium were Patchy light rain, 46°F, wind chill 41°F with winds of 18 mph. Wind of 18 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 26 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. There is a 100% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Texas A&M travels 617 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Texas A&M won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas A&M covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 6.5 points.

How do Texas A&M and Missouri compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas A&M (23.4) over Missouri (17.9) by 5.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Missouri faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Missouri brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Texas A&M won and Texas A&M covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Patchy light rain

46°F

Rain100%
Precip0.04"
Humidity90%
Wind18 mph NNW
Gusts26 mph
Wind chill41°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Texas A&M at Missouri: aerial view of Memorial Stadium, wind from the NNW at 18.1 mph, gusting to 26.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CST
Venue
Memorial Stadium
Capacity
62,621
Elevation
699 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Texas A&MAway MissouriHome
This week617 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total3,924 miles1,881 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest14 days14 days