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Week 11 •
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Florida International56 @FINAL 30Middle Tennessee

3-5 CUSA Power rating: -15.0
1-7 CUSA Power rating: -15.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MTSU -1.5
PM Implied
FIU -0.1
Blue Chip model
MTSU -2.1
Edge
+0.6MTSU
See details
◂ favors FIUfavors MTSU ▸Market: MTSU -1.5
FIU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MTSU
no impact
MTSU
no impact
no impact
1 FIU1 MTSU2 FIU2 MTSUModel: MTSU -2.1

Betting information

Spread
MTSU -1.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
FIU 24.5 – 26.0 MTSU
Prediction markets
FIU 51% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Florida International defeated Middle Tennessee 56–30 to secure a comfortable win. Florida International covered by 27.5; Game went Over by 35.5. The market closed at Middle Tennessee -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Middle Tennessee -2.1. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Florida International vs Middle Tennessee?

At kickoff, conditions at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium were Mist, 57°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida International travels 781 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Florida International arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Florida International won by 26 to secure a comfortable win.

Florida International covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 35.5 points.

How do Florida International and Middle Tennessee compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida International (-15.0) over Middle Tennessee (-15.5) by 0.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Middle Tennessee faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Middle Tennessee brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida International and Middle Tennessee?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Florida International won and Florida International covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Mist

57°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind7 mph S
Gusts14 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Florida International at Middle Tennessee: aerial view of Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, wind from the S at 6.5 mph, gusting to 13.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM CST
Venue
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Capacity
27,303
Elevation
656 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Florida InternationalAway Middle TennesseeHome
This week781 miles0 miles
Last week2,188 milesHome game
Season total9,149 miles6,326 miles
Body clock15:0014:00
Rest9 days10 days

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