Week 1
Arizona Stadium

Hawai'i6 @FINAL 40Arizona , Week 1, Aug 31, 2025

1-0 MW Power rating: -8.4
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 6.5

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ARIZ -13.5
PM Implied
ARIZ -11.3
Blue Chip model
ARIZ -18.6
Edge
+5.1ARIZ
See details
◂ favors HAWfavors ARIZ ▸Market: ARIZ -13.5
14.9 › ARIZ
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ARIZ
no impact
ARIZ
ARIZ
ARIZ
2 HAW2 ARIZ4 HAW4 ARIZ6 HAW6 ARIZModel: ARIZ -18.6

Betting information

Spread
ARIZ -13.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
HAW 21.0 – 34.5 ARIZ
Prediction markets
ARIZ 86% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

Arizona defeated Hawai'i 40–6 in a dominant performance. Arizona covered by 20.5; Game went Under by 9.5. The market closed at Arizona -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Arizona -18.6 - a gap of 5.1 points toward Arizona, of which 3.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Hawai'i vs Arizona?

Hawai'i

Turnover Troubles

Hawaii committed five turnovers (three interceptions, two fumbles) which led to Arizona's dominant 40-6 win. This is a critical area to address before facing Sam Houston.

Quarterback Injury Concern

Freshman QB Micah Alejado left the game in the third quarter with a right ankle injury, after a similar issue in the previous week. His status for next week is uncertain, which could force backup Luke Weaver into action.

Leaky Secondary Exposed

Arizona exploited Hawaii's secondary with big plays, including a 54-yard touchdown run and a 41-yard punt return. The defense must tighten coverage and tackling to compete against Sam Houston.

Offensive Inconsistency

Despite some competitive moments, Hawaii managed only two field goals and struggled to sustain drives, partly due to dropped passes and the turnovers. The offense needs to find rhythm and protect the ball.

Next Opponent: Sam Houston

Hawaii hosts Sam Houston on September 6. To bounce back, they must clean up turnovers, get healthy at QB, and shore up pass defense against a team that will test them.

What were the weather conditions for Hawai'i vs Arizona?

At kickoff, conditions at Arizona Stadium were Clear, 81°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Hawai'i travels 2,968 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.

Arizona won by 34 in a dominant performance.

Arizona covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

How do Hawai'i and Arizona compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Arizona (6.5) over Hawai'i (-8.4) by 14.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arizona brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Arizona won and Arizona covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 31, 2025 Game-time

Clear

81°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity41%
Wind1 mph NNW
Gusts2 mph
Wind map for Hawai'i at Arizona: aerial view of Arizona Stadium, wind from the NNW at 1.1 mph, gusting to 2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM MST
Venue
Arizona Stadium
Capacity
50,782
Elevation
2,438 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Hawai'iAway ArizonaHome
This week2,968 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total2,968 miles0 miles
Body clock16:3019:30
Rest8 daysSeason opener