Utah State defeated UTEP 28–16 in a double-digit victory. Utah State covered by 8.5; Game went Under by 15.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Maverik Stadium were Clear, 56.8°F, Feels Like 55.2°F with winds of 5.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
56.8°F
QB Bryson Barnes threw for 229 yards and a TD, ran for 29 yards and a score, and led the Aggies to 28 points. His dual-threat ability will be key for Utah State's offensive game plan moving forward.
Miles Davis' 58-yard TD run and Broc Lane's 52-yard TD catch gave Utah State a 20-10 halftime lead. The Aggies' ability to generate explosive plays will be crucial in future matchups.
Utah State allowed six sacks and 12 tackles for loss, leading to five consecutive punts. Protecting Barnes and establishing the run will be a focus for improvement in the next game.
After allowing 10 first-half points, the Aggies' defense limited UTEP to just one touchdown and a failed two-point conversion in the second half. This defensive resilience will be important for upcoming contests.
UTEP travels 748 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Utah State won by 12 in a double-digit victory.
Utah State covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 15.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Utah State (-7.3) over UTEP (-14.4) by 7.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Utah State won and Utah State covered the spread.
