Week 1August 29, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
6
0-0
MAC
Power Rank: -9.4
@
FINAL
23
0-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 2.8

By · Last updated

Michigan State defeated Western Michigan 23–6 to secure a comfortable win. Western Michigan covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 20.5.

General Information

Week: Week 1
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Spartan Stadium
Capacity: 75,005
Elevation: 866 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Michigan State -18.5
Total (O/U) 49.5
Odds Implied Score WMU 15.5 - 34.0 MSU
Power Rank Implied Line Michigan State -12.2
Prediction Markets Michigan State 93% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Western Michigan @ Michigan State Preview

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Your line Michigan State +12.2
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Western Michigan
Michigan State
Home field: Spartan Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Western Michigan vs Michigan State?

At kick-off, conditions at Spartan Stadium were Clear, 57.2°F, Feels Like 56.7°F with winds of 4.3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: August 29, 2025
Clear

Clear

57.2°F

Feels Like: 56.7°F
Wind: 4.3 mph SE
Gusts: 8.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 70%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Western Michigan (Away)

This Week: 64.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 64.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: No Prior

Michigan State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: No Prior

What happened in the game?

Western Michigan travels 65 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Michigan State won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Western Michigan covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 20.5 points.

How do Western Michigan and Michigan State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Michigan State (2.8) over Western Michigan (-9.4) by 12.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Michigan State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Michigan State won and Western Michigan covered the spread.