Week 11 •
Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Wake Forest @ SMU , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

4-1 ACC Power rating: 10.5
4-1 ACC Power rating: 8.8

Is there value in the Wake Forest vs SMU line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SMU -2.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors WAKEfavors SMU ▸
WAKE
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2 WAKE2 SMU4 WAKE4 SMUModel: SMU -2.7

Wake Forest (power rating: 10.5) carries a 1.7-point advantage over SMU (8.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. SMU's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8) narrows that gap at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Wake Forest's trip and the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Wake Forest vs SMU at Gerald J. Ford Stadium?

The latest reading for Gerald J. Ford Stadium shows Clear, 81°F, heat index 85°F with winds of 9 mph. Gusts reaching 23 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Wake Forest and SMU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Wake Forest (10.5) over SMU (8.8) by 1.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, SMU faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. SMU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this SMU -2.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

81°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity66%
Wind9 mph SSE
Gusts23 mph
Heat index85°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Wake Forest at SMU: aerial view of Gerald J. Ford Stadium, wind from the SSE at 8.9 mph, gusting to 23 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity
32,000
Elevation
594 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Wake ForestAway SMUHome
This week969 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total7,367 miles5,599 miles
Body clock00:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Wake Forest travels 969 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Wake Forest arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.