Week 9 •
Chapman Stadium

Temple38 @FINAL 37Tulsa , Week 9, Oct 25, 2025

4-3 American Power rating: -9.0
2-5 American Power rating: -14.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TEM -4.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TEM -3.0
Edge
+1.6TLSA
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◂ favors TEMfavors TLSA ▸Market: TEM -4.5
‹ 5.4 TEM
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1 TEM1 TLSA2 TEM2 TLSAModel: TEM -3.0

Betting information

Spread
TEM -4.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
TEM 28.5 – 24.0 TLSA

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Temple defeated Tulsa 38–37 in a nail-biter. Tulsa covered by 3.5; Game went Over by 22.5. The market closed at Temple -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Temple -3.0, an edge of 1.6 points toward Tulsa.

What are the key factors for Temple vs Tulsa?

Temple

Evan Simon's flawless performance

Simon threw 5 touchdowns without an interception, completing 24 of 35 passes for 267 yards. His 21st TD of the season came in overtime, and he has yet to throw a pick all year, showcasing elite decision-making.

Balanced offensive attack

Temple complemented Simon's passing with 180 rushing yards, led by Hunter Smith's 92 yards on 10 carries, including a 72-yard run. This balance keeps defenses guessing and opens up play-action opportunities.

Clutch overtime execution

The Owls scored on their first OT possession with a 1-yard TD pass from Simon to Hollawayne, then held Tulsa to a touchdown and a failed two-point conversion. Temple's ability to perform under pressure is a key strength.

Defensive resilience despite late tie

Temple allowed Tulsa to tie the game late in regulation but forced a critical two-point stop in overtime. The defense, while not dominant, made plays when needed, including Carl Hardin's 52-yard field goal to take a lead.

Improved record and conference standing

At 5-3 overall and 3-1 in AAC play, Temple is in strong position for bowl eligibility and conference contention. The win on the road against a struggling Tulsa team builds momentum for upcoming games.

Tulsa

Offensive firepower but defensive lapses

Tulsa's offense, led by Baylor Hayes with 296 yards and three touchdowns, showed the ability to score and keep pace, but the defense allowed Temple's Evan Simon to throw five touchdowns without an interception, including the game-winner in overtime.

Failed two-point conversion costs the game

After scoring a touchdown in overtime to make it 38-37, Tulsa attempted a two-point conversion to tie or win but failed, directly resulting in the loss. This highlights a critical area for improvement in clutch situations.

Dominic Richardson's late-game heroics

Richardson's touchdown run with 3:44 left in regulation tied the game at 31-31, showing Tulsa's resilience and ability to execute under pressure, but the team couldn't carry that momentum into overtime.

Struggles in conference play continue

With the loss, Tulsa falls to 0-4 in AAC play, indicating ongoing difficulties in conference matchups. The team will need to address defensive consistency and red-zone efficiency to compete in future games.

Hayes' performance provides hope

Baylor Hayes' 296-yard, three-touchdown outing demonstrates the passing game's potential, which could be a key factor in upcoming games if the defense can make stops and the team can finish drives with points.

What were the weather conditions for Temple vs Tulsa?

At kickoff, conditions at Chapman Stadium were Fog, 59°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Temple travels 1,160 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Temple arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Temple won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Tulsa covered the spread.

The total went Over by 22.5 points.

How do Temple and Tulsa compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Temple (-9.0) over Tulsa (-14.4) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Tulsa faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Tulsa brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Temple won and Tulsa covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Fog

59°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity98%
Wind4 mph WNW
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for Temple at Tulsa: aerial view of Chapman Stadium, wind from the WNW at 4 mph, gusting to 7.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Chapman Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
804 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure TempleAway TulsaHome
This week1,160 miles0 miles
Last week880 miles2,083 miles
Season total3,803 miles4,241 miles
Body clock15:3014:30
Rest7 days9 days