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Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
SMU @ Wake Forest
5-2
ACC
Power Rank: 11.1
12 FINAL 13
4-2
ACC
Power Rank: 0.3
Wake Forest covered by 4.5 | Game went Under by 28.5

By · Last updated

Wake Forest defeated SMU 13–12 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated SMU 10.8 points stronger on a neutral field.

SMU @ Wake Forest Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity: 31,500
Elevation: 958 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread SMU -3.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Expected Score SMU 28.5 - 25.0 WAKE
Power Rank Implied Line SMU +10.8

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

30.2°F

Wind Chill: 24.0°F
Wind: 6.5 mph SW
Gusts: 9.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 86%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

SMU (Away)

This Week: 969.0 miles
Last Week: 1623.5 miles
Season Total: 6332.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Wake Forest (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 4931.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line SMU -3.5
Total Points 53.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
SMU 11.1
Wake Forest 0.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 969 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Wake Forest +7
HFA: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity 31,500
Elevation 958 ft
Weather: Overcast
Temperature 30.2°F
Wind Speed 6.5 mph
Your Line Wake Forest -10.8
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for SMU vs Wake Forest?

SMU: Key Factors

Wake Forest: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

SMU travels 969 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

SMU arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Wake Forest won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Wake Forest covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 28.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium?

At 30.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do SMU and Wake Forest compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour SMU (11.1) over Wake Forest (0.3) by 10.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Wake Forest faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Wake Forest brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on SMU and Wake Forest?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Wake Forest won and Wake Forest covered the spread.