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Week 9 •
Valley Children's Stadium

San Diego State23 @FINAL 0Fresno State

5-1 MW Power rating: 2.0
5-2 MW Power rating: -3.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SDSU -3.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SDSU -2.5
Edge
+0.5FRES
See details
◂ favors SDSUfavors FRES ▸Market: SDSU -3.0
‹ 5.3 SDSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FRES
no impact
no impact
no impact
FRES
1 SDSU1 FRES2 SDSU2 FRES3 SDSU3 FRESModel: SDSU -2.5

Betting information

Spread
SDSU -3.0
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
SDSU 24.8 – 21.8 FRES

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

San Diego State defeated Fresno State 23–0 to secure a comfortable win. San Diego State covered by 20.0; Game went Under by 23.5. The market closed at San Diego State -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it San Diego State -2.5. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for San Diego State vs Fresno State?

At kickoff, conditions at Valley Children's Stadium were Clear, 66°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

San Diego State travels 316 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

San Diego State won by 23 to secure a comfortable win.

San Diego State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 23.5 points.

How do San Diego State and Fresno State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San Diego State (2.0) over Fresno State (-3.3) by 5.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Fresno State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Fresno State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on San Diego State and Fresno State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

San Diego State won and San Diego State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Clear

66°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity52%
Wind10 mph NW
Gusts16 mph
Wind map for San Diego State at Fresno State: aerial view of Valley Children's Stadium, wind from the NW at 10.1 mph, gusting to 16.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
12:30 PM PDT
Venue
Valley Children's Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
351 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

San Diego StateAway Fresno StateHome
This week316 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total6,567 miles10,519 miles
Body clock12:3012:30
Rest13 days14 days

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