Michigan defeated Michigan State 31–20 in a double-digit victory. Michigan State covered by 2.5; Game went Over by 3.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Spartan Stadium were Cloudy, 42.6°F, Wind Chill 39.9°F with winds of 6.3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
42.6°F
The Spartans turned the ball over on downs twice in the fourth quarter, including a failed fourth-and-3 from the Michigan 27 and a fourth-and-1 from the Wolverines 29, which sealed the loss. Quarterback Aidan Chiles also lost a fumble early in the game, leading to a Michigan field goal.
Michigan State committed 12 penalties for 105 yards, which extended Michigan drives and negated a key fumble recovery. Coach Jonathan Smith cited 'sloppy play' as a major factor in the loss.
Aidan Chiles completed 14 of 28 passes for 130 yards, lost a fumble, and graded himself a 'D-'. He was replaced late by Alessio Milivojevic, who threw a garbage-time touchdown pass.
Makhi Frazier rushed for a career-high 109 yards, providing a spark on the ground. However, the offense overall was inconsistent and failed to capitalize on opportunities.
Michigan State (3-5, 0-5 Big Ten) will travel to face Minnesota on November 1. The Spartans need to clean up penalties and improve quarterback play to have a chance against the Golden Gophers.
Michigan travels 49 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Michigan won by 11 in a double-digit victory.
Michigan State covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Over by 3.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Michigan (15.9) over Michigan State (5.9) by 10.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Michigan State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Michigan State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Michigan won and Michigan State covered the spread.
