Week 9 •
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

Louisiana23 @FINAL 35Troy , Week 9, Oct 25, 2025

2-5 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.2
5-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -5.9

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TROY -7.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TROY -5.9
Edge
-1.1UL
See details
◂ favors ULfavors TROY ▸Market: TROY -7.0
4.3 › TROY
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1 UL1 TROY2 UL2 TROYModel: TROY -5.9

Betting information

Spread
TROY -7.0
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
UL 20.3 – 27.3 TROY

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Troy defeated Louisiana 35–23 in a double-digit victory. Troy covered by 5.0; Game went Over by 10.5. The market closed at Troy -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Troy -5.9, an edge of 1.1 points toward Louisiana.

What are the key factors for Louisiana vs Troy?

Louisiana

Turnover Troubles Continue

Quarterback Lunch Winfield threw two interceptions, including a 30-yard pick-six that tied the game in the second quarter. This marks a recurring issue for the offense, as turnovers have cost them in close games.

Winfield's Dual-Threat Ability

Despite the interceptions, Winfield was effective on the ground with 139 rushing yards on 23 carries, accounting for most of the team's 184 rushing yards. His mobility will be key against future opponents.

Late Comeback Falls Short

The Ragin' Cajuns cut the lead to 28-23 with 7:08 left after a field goal, but the defense couldn't stop Troy's ensuing 75-yard drive, allowing a 19-yard touchdown run. The team showed resilience but lacked a finishing edge.

Passing Game Needs Consistency

Winfield completed only 12 of 22 passes for 187 yards and one touchdown, with Shelton Sampson Jr. providing the big play (36-yard TD). The passing attack must improve to keep defenses honest and support the run game.

Troy

Rushing Attack Dominance

Troy's rushing game was the key to victory, with Tucker Kilcrease and Jordan Lovett combining for four rushing touchdowns. Lovett had 113 yards on 21 carries, including a crucial 19-yard TD run late in the fourth quarter to seal the win. This ground success will be a focal point for opponents to defend.

Defensive Turnovers

The defense forced two interceptions, including a 30-yard pick-six by Jaquez White that tied the game in the second quarter. This ability to create turnovers and score points will be critical in future games, especially against strong offensive teams.

Resilience in Close Game

Troy showed resilience by responding after Louisiana-Lafayette cut the lead to 28-23 with a field goal. The offense then executed a seven-play, 75-yard drive to extend the lead, demonstrating composure under pressure. This mental toughness will be valuable in tight contests ahead.

Balanced Offensive Contribution

While the rushing game was dominant, Kilcrease also passed for 180 yards, keeping the defense honest. The balanced attack makes Troy harder to defend, as opponents cannot solely focus on stopping the run. This versatility will be a key advantage moving forward.

What were the weather conditions for Louisiana vs Troy?

At kickoff, conditions at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) were Clear, 62°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Louisiana travels 376 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Troy won by 12 in a double-digit victory.

Troy covered the spread.

The total went Over by 10.5 points.

How do Louisiana and Troy compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Troy (-5.9) over Louisiana (-10.2) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Troy brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Troy won and Troy covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Clear

62°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity57%
Wind11 mph ESE
Gusts19 mph
Wind map for Louisiana at Troy: aerial view of Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), wind from the ESE at 11 mph, gusting to 18.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Capacity
61,831
Elevation
548 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure LouisianaAway TroyHome
This week376 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game724 miles
Season total5,361 miles4,439 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days