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Week 9 •
Huskie Stadium

Ball State7 @FINAL 21Northern Illinois

3-4 MAC Power rating: -19.7
1-6 MAC Power rating: -11.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
NIU -6.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NIU -9.1
Edge
+2.6NIU
See details
◂ favors BALLfavors NIU ▸Market: NIU -6.5
8.2 › NIU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NIU
no impact
no impact
no impact
BALL
1 BALL1 NIU2 BALL2 NIU3 BALL3 NIUModel: NIU -9.1

Betting information

Spread
NIU -6.5
Total
41.5
Odds implied score
BALL 17.5 – 24.0 NIU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Northern Illinois defeated Ball State 21–7 in a double-digit victory. Northern Illinois covered by 7.5; Game went Under by 13.5. The market closed at Northern Illinois -6.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Northern Illinois -9.1, an edge of 2.6 points toward Northern Illinois.

What were the weather conditions for Ball State vs Northern Illinois?

At kickoff, conditions at Huskie Stadium were Overcast, 46°F, wind chill 43°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Ball State travels 212 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ball State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Northern Illinois won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Northern Illinois covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 13.5 points.

How do Ball State and Northern Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Northern Illinois (-11.5) over Ball State (-19.7) by 8.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Northern Illinois brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ball State and Northern Illinois?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Northern Illinois won and Northern Illinois covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

46°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity76%
Wind11 mph E
Gusts17 mph
Wind chill43°F
Wind map for Ball State at Northern Illinois: aerial view of Huskie Stadium, wind from the E at 10.7 mph, gusting to 16.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Huskie Stadium
Capacity
28,211
Elevation
896 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Ball StateAway Northern IllinoisHome
This week212 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game789 miles
Season total3,063 miles3,798 miles
Body clock15:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days

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