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Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Ball State @ Northern Illinois
3-4
MAC
Power Rank: -19.7
7 FINAL 21
1-6
MAC
Power Rank: -11.5
Northern Illinois covered by 8.5 | Game went Under by 13.5

By · Last updated

Northern Illinois defeated Ball State 21–7 in a double-digit victory.

Ball State @ Northern Illinois Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Huskie Stadium
Capacity: 28,211
Elevation: 896 ft
HFA Rating: 1.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Northern Illinois -5.5
Total (O/U) 41.5
Expected Score BALL 18.0 - 23.5 NIU
Power Rank Implied Line Northern Illinois +8.2

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

21.3°F

Wind Chill: 11.2°F
Wind: 8.9 mph NNW
Gusts: 15.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.05"
Humidity: 88%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 51%

Travel & Rest

Ball State (Away)

This Week: 211.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3183.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Northern Illinois (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 788.6 miles
Season Total: 3797.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Northern Illinois -5.5
Total Points 41.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Ball State -19.7
Northern Illinois -11.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 212 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Huskie Stadium
Capacity 28,211
Elevation 896 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 21.3°F
Wind Speed 8.9 mph
Your Line Northern Illinois +8.2
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Ball State vs Northern Illinois?

Ball State: Key Factors

Northern Illinois: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Ball State travels 212 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ball State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Northern Illinois won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Northern Illinois covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 13.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Huskie Stadium?

At 21.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 81%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Ball State and Northern Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Northern Illinois (-11.5) over Ball State (-19.7) by 8.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Northern Illinois brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ball State and Northern Illinois?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Northern Illinois won and Northern Illinois covered the spread.