Week 9
Jerry Richardson Stadium

North Texas54 @FINAL 20Charlotte , Week 9, Oct 24, 2025

6-1 American Power rating: 6.0
1-6 American Power rating: -20.8

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNT -25.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UNT -25.5
Edge
0.0no edge
See details
◂ favors UNTfavors COLLE ▸Market: UNT -25.5
‹ 26.8 UNT
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
COLLE
no impact
COLLE
no impact
no impact
1 UNT1 COLLE2 UNT2 COLLEModel: UNT -25.5

Betting information

Spread
UNT -25.5
Total
60.5
Odds implied score
UNT 43.0 – 17.5 COLLE

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

North Texas defeated Charlotte 54–20 in a dominant performance. North Texas covered by 8.5; Game went Over by 13.5. The market closed at North Texas -25.5 and the Blue Chip model made it North Texas -25.5. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for North Texas vs Charlotte?

North Texas

Record-breaking passing performance

Redshirt freshman Drew Mestemaker threw for a school-record 608 yards and four touchdowns, completing 37 of 49 passes. This explosive aerial attack will be a key factor for opponents to defend in future games.

Dominant second-half surge

After trailing 20-17 early in the third quarter, North Texas scored 37 unanswered points to win 54-20. The team's ability to adjust and dominate after halftime shows strong coaching and resilience.

Multiple receiving threats emerge

Wyatt Young (9 catches, 190 yards, 1 TD), Cameron Dorner (7 catches, 117 yards, 1 TD), and Caleb Hawkins (multiple TDs) all contributed significantly. This depth makes the passing game difficult to contain.

Strong rushing complement

Kiefer Sibley added a 45-yard touchdown run and Ashton Gray scored on a 32-yard run, showing the offense can also hurt teams on the ground. This balance will keep defenses guessing.

Defensive improvement in second half

After allowing 20 points in the first half, the defense shut out Charlotte in the second half, including a key goal-line stand. This defensive adjustment bodes well for upcoming matchups.

What were the weather conditions for North Texas vs Charlotte?

At kickoff, conditions at Jerry Richardson Stadium were Partly cloudy, 52°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

North Texas travels 950 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

North Texas arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

North Texas won by 34 in a dominant performance.

North Texas covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 13.5 points.

How do North Texas and Charlotte compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Texas (6.0) over Charlotte (-20.8) by 26.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Charlotte faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Charlotte brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

North Texas won and North Texas covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 24, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

52°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity49%
Wind5 mph NNE
Gusts11 mph
Wind map for North Texas at Charlotte: aerial view of Jerry Richardson Stadium, wind from the NNE at 5.1 mph, gusting to 10.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
Jerry Richardson Stadium
Capacity
15,314
Elevation
643 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure North TexasAway CharlotteHome
This week950 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total5,510 miles2,164 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest6 days6 days