What are the key factors for South Alabama vs Georgia State?

South Alabama: Key Factors

• Dominant rushing attack: South Alabama rushed for 263 yards and 5 touchdowns, led by Kentrel Bullock's 3 TDs, showcasing a powerful ground game that controlled the tempo and kept Southern Miss's defense off balance.
• Strong defensive performance against the run: The Jaguars held Southern Miss to only 41 rushing yards, forcing them to rely heavily on the pass, which allowed South Alabama to dictate the game's flow and limit big plays on the ground.
• Efficient quarterback play: Bishop Davenport threw for 151 yards on 20 attempts and added 2 rushing touchdowns, providing a balanced offensive threat that complemented the running game and kept drives alive.
• Inability to contain passing attack: Despite the win, South Alabama allowed 400 passing yards and 3 touchdowns, including a late 52-yard score, indicating vulnerability in the secondary that could be exploited by future opponents.
• Maintaining rivalry dominance: The Jaguars improved to 6-0 all-time against Southern Miss, demonstrating a psychological edge and consistent performance in this matchup, which could boost confidence heading into their next game.

Georgia State: Key Factors

• Defensive Struggles Against the Pass: Georgia State's defense allowed Troy quarterback Goose Crowder to throw for 361 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception, highlighting a vulnerability in pass coverage that opponents can exploit.
• Offensive Bright Spots in Passing Game: Christian Veilleux threw for 307 yards and a touchdown, with Javon Robinson recording 146 receiving yards and a score, indicating the Panthers have a capable passing attack despite the loss.
• Inability to Convert in Red Zone: Georgia State failed on a 2-point conversion attempt after a touchdown, and their only touchdown came on a 4-yard run, suggesting struggles to finish drives with maximum points.
• Extended Losing Streak: The loss extends Georgia State's losing streak to eight games, with a 1-10 overall record and 0-7 in conference play, indicating a lack of momentum and confidence heading into their next game.

What happened in the game?

South Alabama travels 306 miles to this game, a short road trip.

South Alabama arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

South Alabama won by 7 in a one-score game.

South Alabama covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Center Parc Stadium?

At 31.6°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do South Alabama and Georgia State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour South Alabama (-11.0) over Georgia State (-14.5) by 3.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Georgia State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Georgia State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Alabama and Georgia State?

• South Alabama team page
• Georgia State team page
• College Football Power Ratings
• Home Field Advantage Ratings