South Alabama defeated Georgia State 38–31 in a one-score game. South Alabama covered by 1.0; Game went Over by 15.5.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Center Parc Stadium were Clear, 64.9°F, Feels Like 64.9°F with winds of 2.2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
64.9°F
South Alabama travels 306 miles to this game, a short road trip.
South Alabama arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
South Alabama won by 7 in a one-score game.
South Alabama covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Over by 15.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour South Alabama (-11.0) over Georgia State (-14.5) by 3.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Georgia State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Georgia State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
South Alabama won and South Alabama covered the spread.
