Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
0-5
Pac-12
Power Rank: -8.1
23 FINAL 27
2-2
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -11.7
App State covered by 6.5 | Game went Under by 4.5

App State defeated Oregon State 27–23 in a closely contested finish. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Oregon State 3.6 points stronger on a neutral field.

Oregon State @ App State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Kidd Brewer Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 3301 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Oregon State -2.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score ORST 28.5 - 26.0 APP
Power Rank Implied Line Oregon State +3.6
Prediction Markets App State 54% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light freezing rain

Light freezing rain

19.0°F

Wind Chill: 12.2°F
Wind: 4.5 mph NW
Gusts: 9.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 92%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 63%

Travel & Rest

Oregon State (Away)

This Week: 2242.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5721.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 7

App State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3776.4 miles
Season Total: 5048.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Oregon State -2.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Oregon State -8.1
App State -11.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 2243 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Kidd Brewer Stadium
Capacity 30,000
Elevation 3301 ft
Weather: Light freezing rain
Temperature 19.0°F
Wind Speed 4.5 mph
Your Line App State -3.6
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Oregon State vs App State?

Oregon State: Key Factors

App State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Oregon State travels 2,243 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Oregon State arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.

App State won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

App State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 4.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Kidd Brewer Stadium?

At 19.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Oregon State and App State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Oregon State (-8.1) over App State (-11.7) by 3.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, App State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. App State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

App State won and App State covered the spread.