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Week 6 •
CEFCU Stadium

New Mexico28 @FINAL 35San José State

3-1 MW Power rating: -2.9
1-3 MW Power rating: -4.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SJSU -1.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SJSU -1.1
Edge
-0.4UNM
See details
◂ favors UNMfavors SJSU ▸Market: SJSU -1.5
UNM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SJSU
no impact
SJSU
no impact
no impact
1 UNM1 SJSU2 UNM2 SJSUModel: SJSU -1.1

Betting information

Spread
SJSU -1.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
UNM 28.5 – 30.0 SJSU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

San José State defeated New Mexico 35–28 in a one-score game. San José State covered by 5.5; Game went Over by 4.5. The market closed at San José State -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it San José State -1.1. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for New Mexico vs San José State?

At kickoff, conditions at CEFCU Stadium were Overcast, 52°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

New Mexico travels 865 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

New Mexico arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

San José State won by 7 in a one-score game.

San José State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 4.5 points.

How do New Mexico and San José State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor New Mexico (-2.9) over San José State (-4.2) by 1.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, San José State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. San José State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Mexico and San José State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

San José State won and San José State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 4, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

52°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity90%
Wind1 mph SSW
Gusts2 mph
Wind map for New Mexico at San José State: aerial view of CEFCU Stadium, wind from the SSW at 0.9 mph, gusting to 1.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM PDT
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
Capacity
18,203
Elevation
105 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

New MexicoAway San José StateHome
This week865 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game36 miles
Season total4,841 miles2,968 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest7 days7 days

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