Week 5 •
Williams-Brice Stadium

Kentucky13 @FINAL 35South Carolina , Week 5, Sep 27, 2025

2-1 SEC Power rating: 6.2
2-2 SEC Power rating: 8.6

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SC -5.5
PM Implied
SC -3.9
Blue Chip model
SC -4.0
Edge
-1.5UK
See details
◂ favors UKfavors SC ▸Market: SC -5.5
SC
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1 UK1 SC2 UK2 SCModel: SC -4.0

Betting information

Spread
SC -5.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
UK 20.5 – 26.0 SC
Prediction markets
SC 66% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

South Carolina defeated Kentucky 35–13 to secure a comfortable win. South Carolina covered by 16.5; Game went Over by 1.5. The market closed at South Carolina -5.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Carolina -4.0, an edge of 1.5 points toward Kentucky.

What are the key factors for Kentucky vs South Carolina?

South Carolina

Defense Dominates with Turnover Touchdowns

South Carolina's defense scored two touchdowns on turnovers within three plays, including a 40-yard fumble return and a 45-yard interception return, which were pivotal in building a 21-10 lead and securing the win.

Offense Shows Improvement but Still Inconsistent

The Gamecocks' offense scored three touchdowns but struggled to run the ball effectively, especially in the first half (76 yards on 18 carries). Quarterback LaNorris Sellers avoided some sacks but took unnecessary hits by not throwing the ball away.

Pass Rush Elevates with Six Sacks

South Carolina's pass rush was a key factor, recording six sacks and forcing multiple turnovers, including a strip-sack that led to a defensive touchdown. This pressure disrupted Kentucky's offense and contributed to the defensive dominance.

Special Teams and Rule Impact

A controversial kickoff return reversal due to the 'Shane Beamer Rule' (fair catch signal) limited field position, but the defense and offense compensated. The team will have a bye week before facing LSU.

Next Game: At No. 4 LSU on Oct. 11

After a bye week, South Carolina travels to face a top-5 LSU team. The defense's ability to create turnovers and pressure the quarterback will be critical against a high-powered LSU offense, while the offense must improve consistency to compete.

What were the weather conditions for Kentucky vs South Carolina?

At kickoff, conditions at Williams-Brice Stadium were Overcast, 75°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Kentucky travels 341 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

South Carolina won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

South Carolina covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

How do Kentucky and South Carolina compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Carolina (8.6) over Kentucky (6.2) by 2.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Carolina brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

South Carolina won and South Carolina covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

75°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity71%
Wind4 mph SE
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for Kentucky at South Carolina: aerial view of Williams-Brice Stadium, wind from the SE at 4.3 mph, gusting to 7.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
07:45 PM EDT
Venue
Williams-Brice Stadium
Capacity
77,559
Elevation
243 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure KentuckyAway South CarolinaHome
This week341 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,433 miles
Season total341 miles1,823 miles
Body clock19:4519:45
Rest14 days7 days