Week 4
Memorial Stadium

South Carolina20 @FINAL 29Missouri , Week 4, Sep 20, 2025

2-1 SEC Power rating: 9.7
3-0 SEC Power rating: 14.9

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MIZ -10.0
PM Implied
MIZ -7.3
Blue Chip model
MIZ -8.0
Edge
-2.0SC
See details
◂ favors SCfavors MIZ ▸Market: MIZ -10.0
5.2 › MIZ
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1 SC1 MIZ2 SC2 MIZModel: MIZ -8.0

Betting information

Spread
MIZ -10.0
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
SC 19.3 – 29.3 MIZ
Prediction markets
MIZ 77% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Missouri defeated South Carolina 29–20 in a two-score game. South Carolina covered by 1.0; Game went Over by 0.5. The market closed at Missouri -10.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Missouri -8.0, an edge of 2.0 points toward South Carolina.

What are the key factors for South Carolina vs Missouri?

South Carolina

Passing Game Shines but Missed Opportunities in Fourth Quarter

LaNorris Sellers threw for 302 yards and two touchdowns, but missed open receivers in the fourth quarter, leading to two three-and-outs that allowed Missouri to seal the win.

Rushing Attack Struggles Significantly

South Carolina finished with minus-9 rushing yards, highlighting a severe ground game deficiency that made the offense one-dimensional and easier for Missouri's defense to defend.

Penalties and Negative Plays Hurt Momentum

The Gamecocks were penalized 12 times for 88 yards, and Missouri's defense recorded eight tackles-for-loss and five sacks, disrupting drives and putting South Carolina in difficult down-and-distance situations.

Red Zone Inefficiency Proves Costly

Coach Shane Beamer noted that going backwards in the red zone made it hard to win, indicating that South Carolina failed to capitalize on scoring opportunities, which was critical in a close game.

Defense Shows Resilience but Unable to Stop Missouri's Ground Game

Despite holding Missouri to field goals early, the defense allowed 285 rushing yards, including key runs in the fourth quarter that gave the Tigers the lead and control of the game.

What were the weather conditions for South Carolina vs Missouri?

At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium were Clear, 68°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

South Carolina travels 716 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

South Carolina arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Missouri won by 9 in a two-score game.

South Carolina covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do South Carolina and Missouri compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri (14.9) over South Carolina (9.7) by 5.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Missouri won and South Carolina covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 20, 2025 Game-time

Clear

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity69%
Wind10 mph S
Gusts19 mph
Wind map for South Carolina at Missouri: aerial view of Memorial Stadium, wind from the S at 9.6 mph, gusting to 18.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Memorial Stadium
Capacity
62,621
Elevation
699 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure South CarolinaAway MissouriHome
This week716 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,106 miles0 miles
Body clock19:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days