Week 4September 20, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
20
2-1
SEC
Power Rank: 9.7
@
FINAL
29
3-0
SEC
Power Rank: 14.9

By · Last updated

Missouri defeated South Carolina 29–20 in a two-score game. South Carolina covered by 1.0; Game went Over by 0.5.

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 62,621
Elevation: 699 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Missouri -10.0
Total (O/U) 48.5
Odds Implied Score SC 19.2 - 29.2 MIZ
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri -5.2
Prediction Markets Missouri 77% Win Chance (Kalshi)
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South Carolina
Missouri
Home field: Memorial Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for South Carolina vs Missouri?

At kick-off, conditions at Memorial Stadium were Clear, 67.5°F, Feels Like 67.5°F with winds of 9.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 20, 2025
Clear

Clear

67.5°F

Feels Like: 67.5°F
Wind: 9.6 mph S
Gusts: 18.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 69%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

South Carolina (Away)

This Week: 716.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1106.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

Missouri (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for South Carolina vs Missouri?

South Carolina: Key Factors

Passing Game Shines but Missed Opportunities in Fourth Quarter

LaNorris Sellers threw for 302 yards and two touchdowns, but missed open receivers in the fourth quarter, leading to two three-and-outs that allowed Missouri to seal the win.

Rushing Attack Struggles Significantly

South Carolina finished with minus-9 rushing yards, highlighting a severe ground game deficiency that made the offense one-dimensional and easier for Missouri's defense to defend.

Penalties and Negative Plays Hurt Momentum

The Gamecocks were penalized 12 times for 88 yards, and Missouri's defense recorded eight tackles-for-loss and five sacks, disrupting drives and putting South Carolina in difficult down-and-distance situations.

Red Zone Inefficiency Proves Costly

Coach Shane Beamer noted that going backwards in the red zone made it hard to win, indicating that South Carolina failed to capitalize on scoring opportunities, which was critical in a close game.

Defense Shows Resilience but Unable to Stop Missouri's Ground Game

Despite holding Missouri to field goals early, the defense allowed 285 rushing yards, including key runs in the fourth quarter that gave the Tigers the lead and control of the game.

What happened in the game?

South Carolina travels 716 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

South Carolina arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Missouri won by 9 in a two-score game.

South Carolina covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do South Carolina and Missouri compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri (14.9) over South Carolina (9.7) by 5.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Missouri won and South Carolina covered the spread.