Week 4September 20, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
9
2-1
ACC
Power Rank: -2.0
@
FINAL
34
2-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 5.0

By · Last updated

UCF defeated North Carolina 34–9 to secure a comfortable win. UCF covered by 18.0; Game went Under by 3.5.

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: FBC Mortgage Stadium
Capacity: 44,206
Elevation: 75 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread UCF -7.0
Total (O/U) 46.5
Odds Implied Score UNC 19.8 - 26.8 UCF
Power Rank Implied Line UCF -7.0
Prediction Markets UCF 70% Win Chance (Kalshi)
North Carolina @ UCF Preview

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North Carolina
UCF
Home field: FBC Mortgage Stadium
Weather: Partly cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for North Carolina vs UCF?

At kick-off, conditions at FBC Mortgage Stadium were Partly cloudy, 82.0°F, Heat Index 87.3°F with winds of 10.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 20, 2025
Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

82.0°F

Heat Index: 87.3°F
Wind: 10.1 mph NE
Gusts: 14.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 72%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

North Carolina (Away)

This Week: 518.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 725.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

UCF (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 14

What happened in the game?

North Carolina travels 518 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

UCF won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

UCF covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 3.5 points.

How do North Carolina and UCF compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UCF (5.0) over North Carolina (-2.0) by 7.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UCF brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UCF won and UCF covered the spread.