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Week 3 •
FargodomeIndoor

Southeast Missouri State14 @FINAL 41North Dakota State

0-0 OVC-Big South Power rating: -28.0
2-0 MVFC Power rating: 1.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ND St -31.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ND St -31.5
Edge
0.0no edge
See details
◂ favors SEMOfavors ND St ▸Market: ND St -31.5
29.0 › ND St
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ND St
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 SEMO1 ND St2 SEMO2 ND StModel: ND St -31.5

Betting information

Spread
ND St -31.5
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
SEMO 11.5 – 43.0 ND St

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

North Dakota State defeated Southeast Missouri State 41–14 to secure a comfortable win. Southeast Missouri State covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 0.5. The market closed at North Dakota State -31.5 and the Blue Chip model made it North Dakota State -31.5. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Southeast Missouri State vs North Dakota State?

This game was played indoors at Fargodome in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

Southeast Missouri State travels 760 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

North Dakota State won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

Southeast Missouri State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do Southeast Missouri State and North Dakota State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Dakota State (1.0) over Southeast Missouri State (-28.0) by 29.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. North Dakota State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Southeast Missouri State and North Dakota State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

North Dakota State won and Southeast Missouri State covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Fargodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for Southeast Missouri State at North Dakota State: aerial view of Fargodome

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Fargodome
Capacity
18,700
Elevation
902 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Southeast Missouri StateAway North Dakota StateHome
This week760 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,807 miles
Season total997 miles4,442 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days

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