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Week 3 • September 13, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia
2-0
ACC
Power Rank: 9.2
24 FINAL 31
1-1
Big 12
Power Rank: -2.1
West Virginia covered by 9.0 | Game went Under by 2.5

By · Last updated

West Virginia defeated Pittsburgh 31–24 in a one-score game. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Pittsburgh 11.3 points stronger on a neutral field.

Pittsburgh @ West Virginia Preview

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Milan Puskar Stadium
Capacity: 60,000
Elevation: 1079 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Pittsburgh -2
Total (O/U) 57.5
Expected Score PITT 29.8 - 27.8 WVU
Power Rank Implied Line Pittsburgh +11.3
Prediction Markets Pittsburgh 72% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

24.5°F

Wind Chill: 14.9°F
Wind: 9.2 mph SW
Gusts: 15.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 82%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Pittsburgh (Away)

This Week: 55.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 55.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

West Virginia (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: 234.1 miles
Season Total: 234.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Pittsburgh -2
Total Points 57.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Pittsburgh 9.2
West Virginia -2.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 55 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Milan Puskar Stadium
Capacity 60,000
Elevation 1079 ft
Weather: Overcast
Temperature 24.5°F
Wind Speed 9.2 mph
Your Line West Virginia -11.3
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Pittsburgh vs West Virginia?

Pittsburgh: Key Factors

West Virginia: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Pittsburgh travels 55 miles to this game, a short road trip.

West Virginia won by 7 in a one-score game.

West Virginia covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Milan Puskar Stadium?

At 24.5°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 68%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Pittsburgh and West Virginia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Pittsburgh (9.2) over West Virginia (-2.1) by 11.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, West Virginia faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. West Virginia brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Pittsburgh and West Virginia?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

West Virginia won and West Virginia covered the spread.