@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 3 •
Glass Bowl

Morgan State0 @FINAL 60Toledo

0-0 MEAC Power rating: -28.8
1-1 MAC Power rating: -0.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TOL -33.5
PM Implied
TOL -22.7
Blue Chip model
TOL -31.1
Edge
-2.4MORG
See details
◂ favors MORGfavors TOL ▸Market: TOL -33.5
28.2 › TOL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TOL
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 MORG1 TOL2 MORG2 TOL3 MORG3 TOLModel: TOL -31.1

Betting information

Spread
TOL -33.5
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
MORG 10.5 – 44.0 TOL
Prediction markets
TOL 98% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Toledo defeated Morgan State 60–0 in a dominant performance. Toledo covered by 26.5; Game went Over by 5.5. The market closed at Toledo -33.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Toledo -31.1, an edge of 2.4 points toward Morgan State.

What are the key factors for Morgan State vs Toledo?

Morgan State

Offensive struggles continue

Morgan State managed only 56 total yards and 4 first downs, with no third-down conversions (0-for-12), highlighting a severe lack of offensive production.

Defense overwhelmed by explosive offense

The Bears allowed a school-record 43 points in the second quarter and 60 total, giving up 557 yards and 31 first downs, indicating major defensive vulnerabilities.

Winless start and morale concerns

At 0-3, Morgan State has been outscored significantly, and the 60-0 shutout loss could impact team confidence and cohesion heading into their next game.

What were the weather conditions for Morgan State vs Toledo?

At kickoff, conditions at Glass Bowl were Overcast, 76°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Morgan State travels 403 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Toledo won by 60 in a dominant performance.

Toledo covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

How do Morgan State and Toledo compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Toledo (-0.6) over Morgan State (-28.8) by 28.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Toledo brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Morgan State and Toledo?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Toledo won and Toledo covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

76°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity61%
Wind3 mph WSW
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Morgan State at Toledo: aerial view of Glass Bowl, wind from the WSW at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Glass Bowl
Capacity
26,038
Elevation
610 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Morgan StateAway ToledoHome
This week403 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total2,177 miles510 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

Other games this week