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Week 3 •
Allen E. Paulson Stadium

Jacksonville State34 @FINAL 41Georgia Southern

1-1 CUSA Power rating: -8.6
0-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
GASO -3.0
PM Implied
GASO -1.9
Blue Chip model
GASO -1.2
Edge
-1.8JXST
See details
◂ favors JXSTfavors GASO ▸Market: GASO -3.0
JXST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
GASO
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 JXST2 GASO4 JXST4 GASOModel: GASO -1.2

Betting information

Spread
GASO -3.0
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
JXST 27.8 – 30.8 GASO
Prediction markets
GASO 58% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Georgia Southern defeated Jacksonville State 41–34 in a one-score game. Georgia Southern covered by 4.0; Game went Over by 16.5. The market closed at Georgia Southern -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Georgia Southern -1.2, an edge of 1.8 points toward Jacksonville State.

What were the weather conditions for Jacksonville State vs Georgia Southern?

At kickoff, conditions at Allen E. Paulson Stadium were Clear, 73°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Jacksonville State travels 251 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Jacksonville State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Georgia Southern won by 7 in a one-score game.

Georgia Southern covered the spread.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do Jacksonville State and Georgia Southern compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Jacksonville State (-8.6) over Georgia Southern (-10.8) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Georgia Southern faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Georgia Southern brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Jacksonville State and Georgia Southern?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Georgia Southern won and Georgia Southern covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Clear

73°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity68%
Wind5 mph SE
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern: aerial view of Allen E. Paulson Stadium, wind from the SE at 4.5 mph, gusting to 9.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Capacity
25,000
Elevation
230 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Jacksonville StateAway Georgia SouthernHome
This week251 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game4,213 miles
Season total1,150 miles8,555 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest7 days7 days

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