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Week 3 •
Pitbull Stadium

Florida Atlantic28 @FINAL 38Florida International

1-1 American Power rating: -14.0
1-1 CUSA Power rating: -18.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FIU -2.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
FAU -2.3
Edge
-4.8FAU
See details
◂ favors FAUfavors FIU ▸Market: FIU -2.5
FAU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FIU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 FAU2 FIU4 FAU4 FIUModel: FAU -2.3

Betting information

Spread
FIU -2.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
FAU 27.0 – 29.5 FIU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Florida International defeated Florida Atlantic 38–28 in a double-digit victory. Florida International covered by 7.5; Game went Over by 9.5. The market closed at Florida International -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Florida Atlantic -2.3 - a gap of 4.8 points toward Florida Atlantic, of which 4.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Florida Atlantic 4.5 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Florida Atlantic vs Florida International?

At kickoff, conditions at Pitbull Stadium were Overcast, 78°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida Atlantic travels 46 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Florida International won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Florida International covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 9.5 points.

How do Florida Atlantic and Florida International compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida Atlantic (-14.0) over Florida International (-18.5) by 4.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Florida International faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Florida International brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida Atlantic and Florida International?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Florida International won and Florida International covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

78°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind7 mph ENE
Gusts10 mph
Wind map for Florida Atlantic at Florida International: aerial view of Pitbull Stadium, wind from the ENE at 6.7 mph, gusting to 9.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
Pitbull Stadium
Capacity
20,000
Elevation
30 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Florida AtlanticAway Florida InternationalHome
This week46 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,096 miles
Season total1,823 miles2,096 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

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