Week 12
Acrisure Stadium

Notre Dame37 @FINAL 15Pittsburgh , Week 12, Nov 15, 2025

7-2 Independent Power rating: 28.5
7-2 ACC Power rating: 14.5

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ND -12.5
PM Implied
ND -9.1
Blue Chip model
ND -10.4
Edge
+2.0PITT
See details
◂ favors NDfavors PITT ▸Market: ND -12.5
‹ 14.0 ND
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1 ND1 PITT2 ND2 PITT3 ND3 PITTModel: ND -10.4

Betting information

Spread
ND -12.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
ND 34.0 – 21.5 PITT
Prediction markets
ND 81% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Notre Dame defeated Pittsburgh 37–15 to secure a comfortable win. Notre Dame covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 3.5. The market closed at Notre Dame -12.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Notre Dame -10.4, an edge of 2.0 points toward Pittsburgh.

What are the key factors for Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh?

Notre Dame

Dominant Running Game

Jeremiyah Love rushed for 147 yards and a touchdown, including a 56-yard score, showcasing a powerful ground attack that overwhelmed Pitt's defense.

Defensive Pressure

Notre Dame's defense sacked Pitt's quarterback four times and held him to 126 passing yards, forcing an interception and limiting the Panthers' offense.

Key Turnovers

Tae Johnson's pick-six and Adon Shuler's 100-plus yard return of a two-point conversion were critical in building and maintaining a comfortable lead.

Consistent Improvement

The Irish have won eight straight games by an average of 26 points since an 0-2 start, indicating a team that is peaking at the right time.

Next Week's Outlook

Notre Dame hosts Syracuse next Saturday, and with a potential CFP berth on the line, they are expected to continue their dominant play against a less formidable opponent.

What were the weather conditions for Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh?

At kickoff, conditions at Acrisure Stadium were Overcast, 57°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Notre Dame travels 336 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Notre Dame won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

Notre Dame covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 3.5 points.

How do Notre Dame and Pittsburgh compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Notre Dame (28.5) over Pittsburgh (14.5) by 14.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Pittsburgh faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Pittsburgh brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Notre Dame won and Notre Dame covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

57°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity89%
Wind14 mph SW
Gusts20 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Notre Dame at Pittsburgh: aerial view of Acrisure Stadium, wind from the SW at 13.6 mph, gusting to 20.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Acrisure Stadium
Capacity
68,400
Elevation
719 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Notre DameAway PittsburghHome
This week336 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total5,318 miles6,626 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest6 days14 days