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Week 12 •
Bridgeforth Stadium

App State10 @FINAL 58James Madison

4-5 Sun Belt Power rating: -7.6
8-1 Sun Belt Power rating: 10.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
JMU -21.0
PM Implied
JMU -15.9
Blue Chip model
JMU -20.9
Edge
-0.1APP
See details
◂ favors APPfavors JMU ▸Market: JMU -21.0
18.4 › JMU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
JMU
no impact
no impact
no impact
APP
1 APP1 JMU2 APP2 JMU3 APP3 JMUModel: JMU -20.9

Betting information

Spread
JMU -21.0
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
APP 16.3 – 37.3 JMU
Prediction markets
JMU 93% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

James Madison defeated App State 58–10 in a dominant performance. James Madison covered by 27.0; Game went Over by 14.5. The market closed at James Madison -21.0 and the Blue Chip model made it James Madison -20.9. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for App State vs James Madison?

At kickoff, conditions at Bridgeforth Stadium were Partly cloudy, 57°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 25 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

App State travels 218 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

James Madison won by 48 in a dominant performance.

James Madison covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 14.5 points.

How do App State and James Madison compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor James Madison (10.8) over App State (-7.6) by 18.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. James Madison brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on App State and James Madison?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

James Madison won and James Madison covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

57°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity86%
Wind14 mph SW
Gusts25 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for App State at James Madison: aerial view of Bridgeforth Stadium, wind from the SW at 14.1 mph, gusting to 24.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EST
Venue
Bridgeforth Stadium
Capacity
24,877
Elevation
1,319 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

App StateAway James MadisonHome
This week218 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game385 miles
Season total6,332 miles4,655 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest8 days7 days

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