Southern Miss defeated Arkansas State 27–21 in a closely contested finish. Arkansas State covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 6.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Centennial Bank Stadium were Clear, 70.3°F, Feels Like 70.3°F with winds of 4.9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
70.3°F
Southern Miss travels 321 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Southern Miss won by 6 in a closely contested finish.
Arkansas State covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 6.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Southern Miss (-3.4) over Arkansas State (-9.4) by 6.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Arkansas State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Arkansas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Southern Miss won and Arkansas State covered the spread.
