North Dakota State defeated North Dakota 15–10 in a closely contested finish. North Dakota covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 28.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
This game was played indoors at Alerus Center in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.
~72°F
North Dakota State travels 71 miles to this game, a short road trip.
North Dakota State won by 5 in a closely contested finish.
North Dakota covered the spread.
The total went Under by 28.5 points.
Gusts reaching 20.1 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.
At 27.1°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 32°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour North Dakota State (1.0) over North Dakota (-16.2) by 17.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, North Dakota faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. North Dakota brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
North Dakota State won and North Dakota covered the spread.
