Week 11 •
Arizona Stadium

Kansas20 @FINAL 24Arizona , Week 11, Nov 8, 2025

5-4 Big 12 Power rating: 12.1
5-3 Big 12 Power rating: 10.5

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ARIZ -5.5
PM Implied
ARIZ -4.1
Blue Chip model
ARIZ -1.2
Edge
-4.3KU
See details
◂ favors KUfavors ARIZ ▸Market: ARIZ -5.5
KU
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ARIZ
no impact
ARIZ
no impact
no impact
2 KU2 ARIZ4 KU4 ARIZModel: ARIZ -1.2

Betting information

Spread
ARIZ -5.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
KU 25.5 – 31.0 ARIZ
Prediction markets
ARIZ 66% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Arizona defeated Kansas 24–20 in a closely contested finish. Kansas covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 12.5. The market closed at Arizona -5.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Arizona -1.2 - a gap of 4.3 points toward Kansas, of which 3.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Kansas vs Arizona?

Arizona

Clutch late-game execution

Arizona scored the winning touchdown with 39 seconds left, showing resilience after struggling offensively for most of the game. This ability to perform under pressure could be key against Cincinnati.

Offensive line struggles

Noah Fifita was sacked five times and the team gained only 323 total yards, nearly 100 below their season average. Protecting the quarterback will be critical against Cincinnati's defense.

Turnover luck and missed opportunities

Arizona had a potential pick-six overturned and nearly had three interceptions, but also benefited from a missed field goal. They must clean up ball security and capitalize on takeaways against Cincinnati.

Bowl eligibility achieved

The win made Arizona bowl eligible for the first time this season, boosting team morale. However, they face a ranked Cincinnati team on the road next, requiring continued focus.

What were the weather conditions for Kansas vs Arizona?

At kickoff, conditions at Arizona Stadium were Clear, 71°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Kansas travels 997 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Kansas arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Arizona won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Kansas covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 12.5 points.

How do Kansas and Arizona compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kansas (12.1) over Arizona (10.5) by 1.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Arizona faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Arizona brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Arizona won and Kansas covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Clear

71°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity28%
Wind5 mph NNW
Gusts10 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Kansas at Arizona: aerial view of Arizona Stadium, wind from the NNW at 4.9 mph, gusting to 10.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
01:30 PM MST
Venue
Arizona Stadium
Capacity
50,782
Elevation
2,438 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure KansasAway ArizonaHome
This week997 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,246 miles
Season total4,509 miles5,462 miles
Body clock14:3013:30
Rest7 days7 days