@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 10 •
CEFCU Stadium

Hawai'i38 @FINAL 45San José State

6-2 MW Power rating: -6.1
2-5 MW Power rating: -2.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SJSU -2.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SJSU -6.5
Edge
+4.0SJSU
See details
◂ favors HAWfavors SJSU ▸Market: SJSU -2.5
SJSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SJSU
no impact
SJSU
no impact
no impact
2 HAW2 SJSU4 HAW4 SJSUModel: SJSU -6.5

Betting information

Spread
SJSU -2.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
HAW 26.5 – 29.0 SJSU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

San José State defeated Hawai'i 45–38 in a one-score game. San José State covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 27.5. The market closed at San José State -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it San José State -6.5 - a gap of 4.0 points toward San José State, of which 2.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Hawai'i vs San José State?

At kickoff, conditions at CEFCU Stadium were Partly cloudy, 51°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Hawai'i travels 2,414 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.

San José State won by 7 in a one-score game.

San José State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 27.5 points.

How do Hawai'i and San José State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San José State (-2.3) over Hawai'i (-6.1) by 3.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. San José State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Hawai'i and San José State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

San José State won and San José State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 2, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

51°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity89%
Wind1 mph NW
Gusts2 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Hawai'i at San José State: aerial view of CEFCU Stadium, wind from the NW at 0.9 mph, gusting to 1.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM PDT
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
Capacity
18,203
Elevation
105 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Hawai'iAway San José StateHome
This week2,414 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total21,728 miles6,031 miles
Body clock16:3019:30
Rest15 days15 days

Other games this week