Week 10 • November 01, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
3-4
Big Ten
Power Rank: 17.2
14 FINAL 38
7-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 30.6
Ohio State covered by 3.5 | Game went Over by 8.5

Ohio State defeated Penn State 38–14 to secure a comfortable win.

Penn State @ Ohio State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Ohio Stadium
Capacity: 102,780
Elevation: 719 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Ohio State -20.5
Total (O/U) 43.5
Expected Score PSU 11.5 - 32.0 OSU
Power Rank Implied Line Ohio State +13.4
Prediction Markets Ohio State 93% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light snow showers

Light snow showers

28.0°F

Wind Chill: 18.7°F
Wind: 10.3 mph SW
Gusts: 13.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 88%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 75%

Travel & Rest

Penn State (Away)

This Week: 278.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6550.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 14

Ohio State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5359.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Ohio State -20.5
Total Points 43.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Penn State 17.2
Ohio State 30.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 278 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Ohio Stadium
Capacity 102,780
Elevation 719 ft
Weather: Light snow showers
Temperature 28.0°F
Wind Speed 10.3 mph
Your Line Ohio State +13.4
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Penn State vs Ohio State?

Penn State: Key Factors

Ohio State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Penn State travels 278 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ohio State won by 24 to secure a comfortable win.

Ohio State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 8.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Ohio Stadium?

At 28.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Penn State and Ohio State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ohio State (30.6) over Penn State (17.2) by 13.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ohio State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ohio State won and Ohio State covered the spread.