Week 10
Hancock Whitney Stadium

Louisiana31 @FINAL 22South Alabama , Week 10, Nov 1, 2025

2-6 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.7
2-6 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USA -3.5
PM Implied
USA -3.0
Blue Chip model
USA -3.4
Edge
-0.1UL
See details
◂ favors ULfavors USA ▸Market: USA -3.5
USA
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1 UL1 USA2 UL2 USAModel: USA -3.4

Betting information

Spread
USA -3.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
UL 24.5 – 28.0 USA
Prediction markets
USA 62% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Louisiana defeated South Alabama 31–22 in a two-score game. Louisiana covered by 12.5; Game went Over by 0.5. The market closed at South Alabama -3.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Alabama -3.4. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Louisiana vs South Alabama?

South Alabama

Offensive Struggles in First Half

South Alabama fell behind 10-0 early and only managed a single touchdown before halftime, indicating slow starts and difficulty sustaining drives against Louisiana-Lafayette's defense.

Bishop Davenport's Mixed Performance

Quarterback Bishop Davenport threw for 203 yards, a touchdown, and an interception, showing ability to move the ball but also a costly turnover that limited scoring opportunities.

Keenan Phillips as a Rushing Threat

Running back Keenan Phillips had 13 carries for 75 yards and a touchdown, providing a reliable ground game that could be a focal point in future matchups.

Jeremy Scott's Big Play Ability

Wide receiver Jeremy Scott caught six passes for 102 yards and a touchdown, demonstrating deep-threat potential that can stretch defenses and create scoring chances.

Defensive Lapses in Second Quarter

After cutting the lead to 10-7, the Jaguars allowed 21 unanswered points, highlighting defensive breakdowns that need correction to stay competitive in upcoming games.

What were the weather conditions for Louisiana vs South Alabama?

At kickoff, conditions at Hancock Whitney Stadium were Clear, 61°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Louisiana travels 231 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Louisiana won by 9 in a two-score game.

Louisiana covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do Louisiana and South Alabama compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Alabama (-10.0) over Louisiana (-10.7) by 0.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Alabama brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Louisiana won and Louisiana covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Clear

61°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity52%
Wind4 mph SSW
Gusts9 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Louisiana at South Alabama: aerial view of Hancock Whitney Stadium, wind from the SSW at 4 mph, gusting to 8.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Capacity
25,450
Elevation
197 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure LouisianaAway South AlabamaHome
This week231 miles0 miles
Last week752 miles611 miles
Season total5,967 miles2,438 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest7 days9 days