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Week 1 •
Mountain America Stadium

Northern Arizona19 @FINAL 38Arizona State

0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -16.2
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 8.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ASU -29.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ASU -27.6
Edge
-1.9NAU
See details
◂ favors NAUfavors ASU ▸Market: ASU -29.5
25.1 › ASU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ASU
no impact
no impact
no impact
ASU
1 NAU1 ASU2 NAU2 ASUModel: ASU -27.6

Betting information

Spread
ASU -29.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
NAU 11.5 – 41.0 ASU

ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026

Arizona State defeated Northern Arizona 38–19 to secure a comfortable win. Northern Arizona covered by 10.5; Game went Over by 4.5. The market closed at Arizona State -29.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Arizona State -27.6, an edge of 1.9 points toward Northern Arizona.

What were the weather conditions for Northern Arizona vs Arizona State?

At kickoff, conditions at Mountain America Stadium were Clear, 88°F, heat index 87°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Northern Arizona travels 122 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Arizona State won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Northern Arizona covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 4.5 points.

How do Northern Arizona and Arizona State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Arizona State (8.9) over Northern Arizona (-16.2) by 25.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arizona State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Northern Arizona and Arizona State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Arizona State won and Northern Arizona covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 31, 2025 Game-time

Clear

88°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity31%
Wind4 mph WNW
Gusts7 mph
Heat index87°F
Wind map for Northern Arizona at Arizona State: aerial view of Mountain America Stadium, wind from the WNW at 3.8 mph, gusting to 7.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM MST
Venue
Mountain America Stadium
Capacity
53,599
Elevation
1,220 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Northern ArizonaAway Arizona StateHome
This week122 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total122 miles0 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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