What are the key factors for Southeast Missouri State vs Arkansas State?

Southeast Missouri State: Key Factors

• Strong Passing Performance by Leatherwood: Jax Leatherwood completed 26-of-36 passes for 272 yards and two touchdowns, showing efficiency and the ability to move the ball through the air against an FBS opponent.
• Productive Receiving and Rushing Contributions: Donnie Cheers had 96 yards receiving and a touchdown, while Brandon Epton Jr. rushed for 61 yards and a score, indicating a balanced offensive attack that can be built upon.
• Defensive Struggles Against Arkansas State's Offense: SEMO allowed 42 points and 345 passing yards, including three touchdown passes, highlighting vulnerabilities in pass defense that need addressing before the next game.
• Inability to Maintain Early Momentum: After taking a 10-7 lead in the first quarter, SEMO allowed Arkansas State to score 28 unanswered points, showing a need for better consistency and adjustments during the game.

Arkansas State: Key Factors

• Clutch Offensive Drive: Arkansas State executed a 75-yard, 7-play drive in 52 seconds to score the game-winning touchdown, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure and move the ball quickly.
• Quarterback Performance: Jaylen Raynor threw for 363 yards and three touchdowns, demonstrating strong passing ability that will be key in future games.
• Wide Receiver Production: Chauncey Cobb (117 yards) and Corey Rucker (90 yards, 2 TDs) were primary targets, indicating a reliable passing attack that can exploit defenses.
• Bowl Eligibility Achieved: The win secured bowl eligibility for Arkansas State, boosting team morale and providing extra motivation for the next game.
• Defensive Resilience: Despite allowing 29 points, the defense forced a missed field goal as time expired, showing they can make critical stops when needed.

What happened in the game?

Southeast Missouri State travels 119 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Arkansas State won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Does weather affect this game at Centennial Bank Stadium?

At 31.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Southeast Missouri State and Arkansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arkansas State (-10.9) over Southeast Missouri State (-28.0) by 17.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arkansas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Southeast Missouri State and Arkansas State?

• Southeast Missouri State
• Arkansas State team page
• College Football Power Ratings
• Home Field Advantage Ratings