Mississippi State defeated Southern Miss 34–17 to secure a comfortable win. Mississippi State covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 8.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at M. M. Roberts Stadium were Sunny, 86.9°F, Heat Index 95.0°F with winds of 4.7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
86.9°F
Mississippi State travels 150 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Mississippi State won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.
Mississippi State covered the spread.
The total went Under by 8.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Mississippi State (10.7) over Southern Miss (-6.3) by 17.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Southern Miss faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Southern Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Mississippi State won and Mississippi State covered the spread.
