ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026
Tarleton State defeated Army 30–27 in a nail-biter. Tarleton State covered by 17.5; Game went Over by 9.5. The market closed at Army -14.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Army -8.3 - a gap of 6.2 points toward Tarleton State, of which 5.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Army 6.4 points stronger on a neutral field.
Tarleton State secured only their second-ever win over an FBS team, defeating Army 30-27 in double overtime. This victory boosts team morale and confidence, especially in close-game situations.
Brad Larson made the game-winning 37-yard field goal in double overtime, showing reliability under pressure. This performance suggests the kicking game can be a decisive factor in future tight contests.
Victor Gabalis passed for 151 yards and a touchdown, while Caleb Lewis (107 yards, TD) and Tre Page III (89 yards, TD) provided a strong ground game. This balance will be key against upcoming opponents.
The defense forced two interceptions and held Army's potent rushing attack to 280 yards, including key stops in overtime. This resilience bodes well for handling run-heavy offenses in future games.
At kickoff, conditions at Michie Stadium were Partly cloudy, 60°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Partly cloudy
60°F
| Measure | Tarleton StateAway | ArmyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,480 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 1,480 miles | 0 miles |
| Body clock | 17:00 | 18:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | Season opener |
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