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Week 1 • August 29, 2025, 10:00 PM UTC
Tarleton State @ Army
0-0
FCS
Power Rank: -10
30 FINAL 27
0-0
American
Power Rank: -3.6

By · Last updated

Tarleton State defeated Army 30–27 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Army 6.4 points stronger on a neutral field.

Tarleton State @ Army Preview

General Information

Week: Week 1
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Michie Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 348 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Army +6.4
Prediction Markets Army 84% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

12.9°F

Wind Chill: 6.1°F
Wind: 4.3 mph WSW
Gusts: 8.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 92%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Tarleton State (Away)

This Week: 1479.7 miles
Last Week: 2959.5 miles
Season Total: 4439.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: No Prior

Army (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: No Prior

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line —
Total Points —
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Tarleton State -10
Army -3.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1480 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest —
HFA: Michie Stadium
Capacity 30,000
Elevation 348 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 12.9°F
Wind Speed 4.3 mph
Your Line Army +6.4
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Tarleton State vs Army?

Tarleton State: Key Factors

Army: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Tarleton State travels 1,480 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Tarleton State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Tarleton State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Does weather affect this game at Michie Stadium?

At 12.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Tarleton State and Army compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Army (-3.6) over Tarleton State (-10.0) by 6.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Army brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tarleton State and Army?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Tarleton State won this game.