Tarleton State defeated Army 30–27 in a nail-biter. Tarleton State covered by 17.5; Game went Over by 9.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Army 6.4 points stronger on a neutral field.
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At kick-off, conditions at Michie Stadium were Partly cloudy, 60.3°F, Feels Like 59.4°F with winds of 5.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
60.3°F
Tarleton State secured only their second-ever win over an FBS team, defeating Army 30-27 in double overtime. This victory boosts team morale and confidence, especially in close-game situations.
Brad Larson made the game-winning 37-yard field goal in double overtime, showing reliability under pressure. This performance suggests the kicking game can be a decisive factor in future tight contests.
Victor Gabalis passed for 151 yards and a touchdown, while Caleb Lewis (107 yards, TD) and Tre Page III (89 yards, TD) provided a strong ground game. This balance will be key against upcoming opponents.
The defense forced two interceptions and held Army's potent rushing attack to 280 yards, including key stops in overtime. This resilience bodes well for handling run-heavy offenses in future games.
Tarleton State travels 1,480 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Tarleton State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Tarleton State won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Tarleton State covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Over by 9.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Army (-3.6) over Tarleton State (-10.0) by 6.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Army brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Tarleton State won and Tarleton State covered the spread.
