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College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl • January 09, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC
Miami @ Ole Miss
0-0
ACC
Power Rank: 26.0
31 FINAL 27
0-0
SEC
Power Rank: 23.6

By · Last updated

Miami defeated Ole Miss 31–27 in a closely contested finish.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 05:30 PM MST
Stadium: State Farm Stadium
Capacity: 63,400
Elevation: 0 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Miami +2.4
Prediction Markets Miami 50% Ole Miss 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: State Farm Stadium
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Miami (Away)

This Week: 1985.5 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 10529.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 41

Ole Miss (Home)

This Week: 1304.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3976.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 42

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line —
Total Points —
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Miami 26.0
Ole Miss 23.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1985 mi
Home Team Travel 1304 mi
Rest Ole Miss +1
HFA: State Farm Stadium
Capacity 63,400
Elevation 0 ft
Weather
Temperature —°F
Wind Speed — mph
Your Line Ole Miss -2.4
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Miami vs Ole Miss?

Miami: Key Factors

Ole Miss: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Miami travels 1,985 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Miami arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Miami won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

How do Miami and Ole Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Miami (26.0) over Ole Miss (23.6) by 2.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Ole Miss faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Miami and Ole Miss?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Miami won this game.