College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl • Jan 1, 2026, 12:00 PM EST

Hard Rock StadiumNeutral site

Oregon23 @FINAL 0Texas Tech , Postseason, Jan 1, 2026

11-1 Big Ten Power rating: 28.2

12-1 Big 12 Power rating: 26.0

By Liam Browne · Last updated August 15, 2026

How did the line hold up?

Market line: TTU -1.5
PM Implied: Not yet available
Blue Chip model: ORE -0.8
Edge: -2.3ORE

See details

◂ favors OREfavors TTU ▸Market: TTU -1.5

Power ratings ORE

Oregon Texas Tech The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team

Home field neutral

Rest TTU

Travel TTU

Elevation TTU

Weather no impact

1 ORE1 TTU2 ORE2 TTUModel: ORE -0.8

How the Blue Chip model builds its line for Oregon at Texas Tech. Points are home-oriented: a positive number favors Texas Tech.
Input	Points	Favors	Plausible range	Note
Power ratings	-2.2	ORE	fixed	-
Home field	0.0	no impact	fixed	Neutral site - no home field advantage.
Rest	+0.8	TTU	+0.5 to +1.0	Home team off a bye.
Travel	+0.3	TTU	0.0 to +0.6	Visitor east 2 time zones (includes distance).
Elevation	+0.4	TTU	0.0 to +0.8	Visitor climbs 849 m more than the home team.
Weather	0.0	no impact	fixed	-
Blue Chip line	-0.8	ORE	-	-
Market line	+1.5	TTU	-	-
Difference	+2.3	TTU	-	Market minus model

Betting information

Spread: TTU -1.5
Total: 50.5
Odds implied score: ORE 24.5 – 26.0 TTU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Oregon defeated Texas Tech 23–0 to secure a comfortable win. Oregon covered by 24.5; Game went Under by 27.5. The market closed at Texas Tech -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Oregon -0.8, an edge of 2.3 points toward Oregon.

What were the weather conditions for Oregon vs Texas Tech?

At kickoff, conditions at Hard Rock Stadium were Sunny, 69°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Oregon travels 2,691 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.

Oregon won by 23 to secure a comfortable win.

Oregon covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 27.5 points.

How do Oregon and Texas Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Oregon (28.2) over Texas Tech (26.0) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. Texas Tech faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Model & Methodology

Oregon won and Oregon covered the spread.

Conditions

as of January 1, 2026 Game-time

Sunny

69°F

Rain0%

Precip0.00"

Humidity30%

Wind8 mph NNW

Gusts9 mph

Snow chance0%

Wind map for Oregon at Texas Tech: aerial view of Hard Rock Stadium, wind from the NNW at 7.6 mph, gusting to 8.9 mph

Quick facts

Week: Postseason
Kickoff (local): 12:00 PM EST
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Capacity: 64,767
Elevation: 43 ft
Surface: Unknown

Travel and rest

Measure	OregonAway	Texas TechHome
This week	2,691 miles	1,399 miles
Last week	Bye week	Bye week
Season total	19,478 miles	9,079 miles
Body clock	09:00	11:00
Rest	11 days	26 days

How did the line hold up?

Betting information

What were the weather conditions for Oregon vs Texas Tech?

What happened in the game?

How do Oregon and Texas Tech compare on power ratings?

Where can I find more data on Oregon and Texas Tech?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Conditions

Quick facts

Travel and rest

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