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College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential •
Rose BowlNeutral site

Alabama3 @FINAL 38Indiana

10-3 SEC Power rating: 30.2
13-0 Big Ten Power rating: 33.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
IU -7.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
IU -4.3
Edge
-3.3ALA
See details
◂ favors ALAfavors IU ▸Market: IU -7.5
IU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
IU
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 ALA1 IU2 ALA2 IU3 ALA3 IUModel: IU -4.3

Betting information

Spread
IU -7.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
ALA 19.5 – 27.0 IU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Indiana defeated Alabama 38–3 in a dominant performance. Indiana covered by 27.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at Indiana -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Indiana -4.3 - a gap of 3.3 points toward Alabama, of which 3.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Alabama vs Indiana?

At kickoff, conditions at Rose Bowl were Partly cloudy, 58°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Alabama travels 1,759 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Indiana won by 35 in a dominant performance.

Indiana covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Alabama and Indiana compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Indiana (33.7) over Alabama (30.2) by 3.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Alabama and Indiana?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Indiana won and Indiana covered the spread.

Conditions

as of January 1, 2026 Game-time

Partly cloudy

58°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind4 mph ESE
Gusts8 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Alabama at Indiana: aerial view of Rose Bowl, wind from the ESE at 4.3 mph, gusting to 8.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM PST
Venue
Rose Bowl
Capacity
89,702
Elevation
810 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

AlabamaAway IndianaHome
This week1,759 miles1,782 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total5,131 miles8,468 miles
Body clock15:0016:00
Rest12 days25 days

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