Louisville defeated Toledo 27–22 in a closely contested finish. Toledo covered by 7.5; Game went Over by 4.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at FAU Stadium were Cloudy, 72.0°F, Feels Like 76.5°F with winds of 12.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
72.0°F
Toledo travels 1,072 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Louisville won by 5 in a closely contested finish.
Toledo covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Over by 4.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Louisville (18.2) over Toledo (3.1) by 15.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisville brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Louisville won and Toledo covered the spread.
