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College Football Playoff First Round Game •
Autzen StadiumNeutral site

James Madison34 @FINAL 51Oregon

12-1 Sun Belt Power rating: 11.4
11-1 Big Ten Power rating: 28.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ORE -20.5
PM Implied
ORE -15.9
Blue Chip model
ORE -17.7
Edge
-2.8JMU
See details
◂ favors JMUfavors ORE ▸Market: ORE -20.5
16.8 › ORE
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
ORE
no impact
no impact
1 JMU1 ORE2 JMU2 ORE3 JMU3 OREModel: ORE -17.7

Betting information

Spread
ORE -20.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
JMU 13.5 – 34.0 ORE
Prediction markets
ORE 93% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Oregon defeated James Madison 51–34 to secure a comfortable win. James Madison covered by 3.5; Game went Over by 37.5. The market closed at Oregon -20.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Oregon -17.7, an edge of 2.8 points toward James Madison.

What were the weather conditions for James Madison vs Oregon?

At kickoff, conditions at Autzen Stadium were Overcast, 42°F, wind chill 39°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

James Madison travels 2,306 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Oregon won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

James Madison covered the spread.

The total went Over by 37.5 points.

How do James Madison and Oregon compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Oregon (28.2) over James Madison (11.4) by 16.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on James Madison and Oregon?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Oregon won and James Madison covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 21, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

42°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity75%
Wind4 mph SE
Gusts7 mph
Wind chill39°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for James Madison at Oregon: aerial view of Autzen Stadium, wind from the SE at 3.6 mph, gusting to 7.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
04:30 PM PST
Venue
Autzen Stadium
Capacity
54,000
Elevation
443 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

James MadisonAway OregonHome
This week2,306 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total7,601 miles16,787 miles
Body clock19:3016:30
Rest15 days22 days

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